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 Post subject: 大伙讨论一下阿发狗的技术能用来炒股吗?
PostPosted: 3/10/16 00:02 
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Joined: 4/28/14 12:29
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大伙讨论一下阿发狗deep mind的技术能用来炒股吗?
神经网络怎么炒股?


 
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 Post subject: Re: 大伙讨论一下阿发狗的技术能用来炒股吗?
PostPosted: 3/10/16 00:05 
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应该可以,可以研究一下tensorflow


 
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 Post subject: Re: 大伙讨论一下阿发狗的技术能用来炒股吗?
PostPosted: 3/10/16 00:13 
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围棋可以找一大堆棋谱进行training,炒股咋找范本啊?
tea wrote:
应该可以,可以研究一下tensorflow


 
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 Post subject: Re: 大伙讨论一下阿发狗的技术能用来炒股吗?
PostPosted: 3/10/16 00:22 
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偷看呆歌操盘就行啊, :-)
甜不辣 wrote:
围棋可以找一大堆棋谱进行training,炒股咋找范本啊?
tea wrote:
应该可以,可以研究一下tensorflow


 
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 Post subject: Re: 大伙讨论一下阿发狗的技术能用来炒股吗?
PostPosted: 3/10/16 02:10 
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Joined: 8/30/08 06:24
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历史数据拟合应该可以


 
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 Post subject: Re: 大伙讨论一下阿发狗的技术能用来炒股吗?
PostPosted: 3/10/16 14:22 
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甜不辣 wrote:
大伙讨论一下阿发狗deep mind的技术能用来炒股吗? 神经网络怎么炒股?
能先将技术细节讲讲吗?RL本身不是什么新技术,但DeepMind怎么用? 谁有 更近一步的请讲讲。


 
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 Post subject: Re: 大伙讨论一下阿发狗的技术能用来炒股吗?
PostPosted: 3/10/16 14:31 
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围棋只有两个player, one goal. 股市是multiplayer,multiple goal system复杂多了. 问题是不知道player是谁,all input是什么. 没法搞.
甜不辣 wrote:
大伙讨论一下阿发狗deep mind的技术能用来炒股吗? 神经网络怎么炒股?


 
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 Post subject: Re: 大伙讨论一下阿发狗的技术能用来炒股吗?
PostPosted: 3/10/16 14:38 
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Joined: 8/27/06 01:17
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github https://github.com/kuz/DeepMind-Atari-Deep-Q-Learner


 
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 Post subject: Re: 大伙讨论一下阿发狗的技术能用来炒股吗?
PostPosted: 3/10/16 14:40 
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我觉得股市应该比围棋简单
ES_DayTrader wrote:
围棋只有两个player, one goal. 股市是multiplayer,multiple goal system复杂多了. 问题是不知道player是谁,all input是什么. 没法搞.
甜不辣 wrote:
大伙讨论一下阿发狗deep mind的技术能用来炒股吗? 神经网络怎么炒股?


 
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 Post subject: Re: 大伙讨论一下阿发狗的技术能用来炒股吗?
PostPosted: 3/10/16 14:46 
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tea wrote:
Thanks for the pointer!


 
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 Post subject: Re: 大伙讨论一下阿发狗的技术能用来炒股吗?
PostPosted: 3/10/16 20:52 
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请金宝同学发言. 
甜不辣 wrote:
大伙讨论一下阿发狗deep mind的技术能用来炒股吗? 神经网络怎么炒股?


 
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 Post subject: Re: 大伙讨论一下阿发狗的技术能用来炒股吗?
PostPosted: 3/10/16 20:57 
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Joined: 12/22/09 18:33
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可以吧。 找pattern, 模式识别, assume patterns repeat.
常将军 wrote:
请金宝同学发言. 
甜不辣 wrote:
大伙讨论一下阿发狗deep mind的技术能用来炒股吗? 神经网络怎么炒股?


 
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 Post subject: Re: 大伙讨论一下阿发狗的技术能用来炒股吗?
PostPosted: 3/10/16 23:49 
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Joined: 8/9/07 00:28
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首先要了解机器炒股的目的是什么?

如果说稳定盈利,有可能,如果说beat everybody,怎么比泥?

tea wrote:
我觉得股市应该比围棋简单
ES_DayTrader wrote:
围棋只有两个player, one goal. 股市是multiplayer,multiple goal system复杂多了. 问题是不知道player是谁,all input是什么. 没法搞.
甜不辣 wrote:
大伙讨论一下阿发狗deep mind的技术能用来炒股吗? 神经网络怎么炒股?


 
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 Post subject: Re: 大伙讨论一下阿发狗的技术能用来炒股吗?
PostPosted: 3/11/16 00:12 
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Joined: 8/23/06 20:38
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可以得。不过不知道结果会怎样。

最直接的做法可以是,假设有过去一堆参数 X, 决定明天是买还是卖 Y,即 P(Y|X)。然后计算交易的Sharpe 率。把整个市场的每个股票的前半个历史都去算算,学习这个 P(Y|X),剩下的半个历史是验证。


 
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 Post subject: Re: 大伙讨论一下阿发狗的技术能用来炒股吗?
PostPosted: 3/11/16 09:07 
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野狐禅 wrote:
可以得。不过不知道结果会怎样。

最直接的做法可以是,假设有过去一堆参数 X, 决定明天是买还是卖 Y,即 P(Y|X)。然后计算交易的Sharpe 率。把整个市场的每个股票的前半个历史都去算算,学习这个 P(Y|X),剩下的半个历史是验证。
你这哪是AI. 立马就是一个人脑思考的玩意。


 
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