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 Post subject: Re: 大选和大势
PostPosted: 8/18/17 19:57 
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嗯,股市SUCKS NOW。9月债限到,FED要缩膘,靡日淫在中国周围闹事,还搞什么301。10月初再入合适。世界混乱,敌人猖狂,鸭子要坚强。


 
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 Post subject: Re: 大选和大势
PostPosted: 8/20/17 21:57 
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Yellen, Draghi Head to Jackson Hole Amid Inflation Unease
这群大人物集中在HOLE里坐洞观天真是不食人间烟火啊。其实消费者大幅涨价的大开销多得是,学费,房产税,医药医保。涨得鸭子 very unease。那些传统的说你有钱了狠劲花导致INFLATION的理论,完全不合现实,现实是你狠劲花了这些大钱就没那么多钱真消费了。从这个角度说,叶愣应该降息而不是涨喜。


 
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 Post subject: Re: 大选和大势
PostPosted: 8/22/17 20:04 
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今年大势是牛的。有时我们仓位太多,还会突然烂仓,就影响判断。那么,判断大势,今年哪个月的低点比上个月的低点还低吗?若非,即是接近上个月的低点,就要大阳棒抄底,这个TA很简单。


 
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 Post subject: Re: 大选和大势
PostPosted: 8/24/17 19:14 
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明天,看叶愣最后一次在洞里表演了。 good, 2460, bad 2420. I rather stick with the long side.


now wrote:
Yellen, Draghi Head to Jackson Hole Amid Inflation Unease 这群大人物集中在HOLE里坐洞观天真是不食人间烟火啊。其实消费者大幅涨价的大开销多得是,学费,房产税,医药医保。涨得鸭子 very unease。那些传统的说你有钱了狠劲花导致INFLATION的理论,完全不合现实,现实是你狠劲花了这些大钱就没那么多钱真消费了。从这个角度说,叶愣应该降息而不是涨喜。


 
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 Post subject: Re: 大选和大势
PostPosted: 8/25/17 20:31 
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Draghi Says Slow Inflation Progress Means Accommodation Needed
我不是央行行长也知道这个啊。主要是太多花销并不放映在INFLATION上。米国一年军费6-7千亿$,化了纳税人的钱却对经济没有什么影响,尤其是在外面打仗驻军的。


now wrote:
Yellen, Draghi Head to Jackson Hole Amid Inflation Unease 这群大人物集中在HOLE里坐洞观天真是不食人间烟火啊。其实消费者大幅涨价的大开销多得是,学费,房产税,医药医保。涨得鸭子 very unease。那些传统的说你有钱了狠劲花导致INFLATION的理论,完全不合现实,现实是你狠劲花了这些大钱就没那么多钱真消费了。从这个角度说,叶愣应该降息而不是涨喜。


 
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 Post subject: Re: 大选和大势
PostPosted: 8/30/17 13:26 
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这波小跌震荡过程中做空没有被套。主要是吃过亏知道了,感到跌得差不多就收手。做空然后感觉会大跌,不及时罢休,大部分是做梦。震荡就是短期炒作让MM赚钱的好机会,跟着小炒就可以了。
通常这种DIP/VOLATILITY成了AV的BTFD的机会,做空的然后就被逼买了。


 
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 Post subject: Re: 大选和大势
PostPosted: 8/31/17 14:08 
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MM大流氓,几周把鸭子一路甩下车,最后3天自己单飞,鸭子命苦啊。


now wrote:
这波小跌震荡过程中做空没有被套。主要是吃过亏知道了,感到跌得差不多就收手。做空然后感觉会大跌,不及时罢休,大部分是做梦。震荡就是短期炒作让MM赚钱的好机会,跟着小炒就可以了。
通常这种DIP/VOLATILITY成了AV的BTFD的机会,做空的然后就被逼买了。


 
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 Post subject: Re: 大选和大势
PostPosted: 8/31/17 15:41 
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这么牛,下个月怎么做啊?这个月我都有些喜欢MM上下震动了。


 
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 Post subject: Re: 大选和大势
PostPosted: 9/2/17 08:41 
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回头看,这个TA很靠谱,后来几天的ES变化就在这个范围。什么金鸭放蛋导致跌只是一种完成TA的一个好借口,没有这个借口,那天晚上基本也要跌,算是最后扫荡多仓,之后月底打到上个月收盘位附近。延迟反应,表明花街MM很喜欢叶愣最后一次在洞里的演出。之后大家假设川老邪明年要换CHAIRMAN了。


now wrote:
明天,看叶愣最后一次在洞里表演了。 good, 2460, bad 2420. I rather stick with the long side.


now wrote:
Yellen, Draghi Head to Jackson Hole Amid Inflation Unease 这群大人物集中在HOLE里坐洞观天真是不食人间烟火啊。其实消费者大幅涨价的大开销多得是,学费,房产税,医药医保。涨得鸭子 very unease。那些传统的说你有钱了狠劲花导致INFLATION的理论,完全不合现实,现实是你狠劲花了这些大钱就没那么多钱真消费了。从这个角度说,叶愣应该降息而不是涨喜。


 
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 Post subject: Re: 大选和大势
PostPosted: 9/4/17 12:42 
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鸭子还是搞人民公社设医疗基金互保吧。

2018 health premiums may rival mortgage payments


now wrote:
Yellen, Draghi Head to Jackson Hole Amid Inflation Unease 这群大人物集中在HOLE里坐洞观天真是不食人间烟火啊。其实消费者大幅涨价的大开销多得是,学费,房产税,医药医保。涨得鸭子 very unease。那些传统的说你有钱了狠劲花导致INFLATION的理论,完全不合现实,现实是你狠劲花了这些大钱就没那么多钱真消费了。从这个角度说,叶愣应该降息而不是涨喜。


 
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 Post subject: Re: 大选和大势
PostPosted: 9/5/17 16:52 
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我说这些话之后,FED老妖们今年不会再涨息了。BOND今天达到今年新高。并不是专家看看图表就会了解发生了什么该怎么做。BEAR STEARNS, LEHMAN的老板们当初都牛得很,他们自己赚大钱,公司赚大钱,就忽略鸭子贷款太多太次,就出问题了。FED应该允许有适当的INFLATION,政府债太多,企业债太多,个人债太多,为了怕INFLATION快速加息是不对的。不加息,$弱,股市涨,商品价格涨。


now wrote:
Yellen, Draghi Head to Jackson Hole Amid Inflation Unease 这群大人物集中在HOLE里坐洞观天真是不食人间烟火啊。其实消费者大幅涨价的大开销多得是,学费,房产税,医药医保。涨得鸭子 very unease。那些传统的说你有钱了狠劲花导致INFLATION的理论,完全不合现实,现实是你狠劲花了这些大钱就没那么多钱真消费了。从这个角度说,叶愣应该降息而不是涨喜。


 
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 Post subject: Re: 大选和大势
PostPosted: 9/5/17 16:52 
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Joined: 9/8/11 22:41
Posts: 4387
我说这些话之后,FED老妖们今年不会再涨息了。BOND今天达到今年新高。并不是专家看看图表就会了解发生了什么该怎么做。BEAR STEARNS, LEHMAN的老板们当初都牛得很,他们自己赚大钱,公司赚大钱,就忽略鸭子贷款太多太次,就出问题了。FED应该允许有适当的INFLATION,政府债太多,企业债太多,个人债太多,为了怕INFLATION快速加息是不对的。不加息,$弱,股市涨,商品价格涨。


now wrote:
Yellen, Draghi Head to Jackson Hole Amid Inflation Unease 这群大人物集中在HOLE里坐洞观天真是不食人间烟火啊。其实消费者大幅涨价的大开销多得是,学费,房产税,医药医保。涨得鸭子 very unease。那些传统的说你有钱了狠劲花导致INFLATION的理论,完全不合现实,现实是你狠劲花了这些大钱就没那么多钱真消费了。从这个角度说,叶愣应该降息而不是涨喜。


 
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 Post subject: Re: 大选和大势
PostPosted: 9/6/17 20:05 
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明天ECB拖拉机又要讲话?


 
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 Post subject: Re: 大选和大势
PostPosted: 9/7/17 08:16 
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now wrote:
明天ECB拖拉机又要讲话?
ECB holds interest rates steady, says it's ready to increase stimulus if necessary
European Central Bank (ECB) holds interest rates at 0.0 percent.
The central bank says it stands poised to increase its asset bond buying program if needed.
As anticipated, the bank provided no clarity on when it may wind-down its stimulus program.


 
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 Post subject: Re: 大选和大势
PostPosted: 9/7/17 19:49 
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$大跌,美债大涨,金大涨。

Euro surges after ECB puts tapering on table; investors await China trade data
The euro spiked after the ECB suggested it could make decisions on its QE program in October China August trade data was due later on Friday

The euro jumped after the European Central Bank suggested on Thursday it would make decisions on its asset purchase program in October, while markets awaited China August trade data due later on Friday.


 
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