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 Post subject: Re: Is market too complacent?
PostPosted: 4/6/17 12:20 
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Joined: 1/28/12 01:21
Posts: 65175
前天的帖子出问题了,THREAD比较乱。我删了问题贴,测试一下。
idleman wrote:
test what?
dave_liu wrote:
test


 
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 Post subject: Re: Is market too complacent?
PostPosted: 5/13/17 19:19 
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The founder of the world’s largest hedge funds says the ‘magnitude’ of the next downturn will be epic.
他的基本依据我也说过啊。政府医疗开销太大。他还没好意思说军费开支太高,也没好意思说地税和各种税对99.9%的人太高。但结论是SQUEEZE经济。但是,危机什么时候到来就很难预测了。建议给大咧嗷这样巨富征90%财产税,避免危机。

Is market too complacent now? It looks like.


 
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 Post subject: Re: Is market too complacent?
PostPosted: 5/20/17 10:12 
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The market is too complacent. The bounce back was swift and should have reached its limit. Need to reduce and hedge, based on ta and my instinct.
设想一下未来几个月的剧本,正态是到10月份在2400-2300震荡,超过这个范围基本上可以反着做。如果反得太错了,就是黑天鸭事件。

now wrote:
The founder of the world’s largest hedge funds says the ‘magnitude’ of the next downturn will be epic.
他的基本依据我也说过啊。政府医疗开销太大。他还没好意思说军费开支太高,也没好意思说地税和各种税对99.9%的人太高。但结论是SQUEEZE经济。但是,危机什么时候到来就很难预测了。建议给大咧嗷这样巨富征90%财产税,避免危机。

Is market too complacent now? It looks like.


 
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 Post subject: Re: Is market too complacent?
PostPosted: 5/21/17 14:43 
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Joined: 3/10/14 22:12
Posts: 9114
all right, let's wait and see.
now wrote:
The market is too complacent. The bounce back was swift and should have reached its limit. Need to reduce and hedge, based on ta and my instinct.
设想一下未来几个月的剧本,正态是到10月份在2400-2300震荡,超过这个范围基本上可以反着做。如果反得太错了,就是黑天鸭事件。

now wrote:
The founder of the world’s largest hedge funds says the ‘magnitude’ of the next downturn will be epic.
他的基本依据我也说过啊。政府医疗开销太大。他还没好意思说军费开支太高,也没好意思说地税和各种税对99.9%的人太高。但结论是SQUEEZE经济。但是,危机什么时候到来就很难预测了。建议给大咧嗷这样巨富征90%财产税,避免危机。

Is market too complacent now? It looks like.


 
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 Post subject: Re: Is market too complacent?
PostPosted: 6/25/17 20:53 
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文科生鸭子卖弄数学被批了。

见过胡说的,但是没见过这么公然胡说的
http://bbs.wenxuecity.com/finance/4232283.html


 
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 Post subject: Re: Is market too complacent?
PostPosted: 6/26/17 18:37 
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鸭子说“周六深夜发帖,忘了把无理数前的“著名的”定语加上,居然引起一场风波。。。”
可是我很难把鸭子的文章看完,通常长篇大论。你就说说买什么,大约什么价位买就够了。管什么“著名的”无理数,有什么用?我还说0 1 2 3 5 8 13 21 ----- 是著名整数,SO WHAT? 无理数比有理数更有理吗?


now wrote:
文科生鸭子卖弄数学被批了。

见过胡说的,但是没见过这么公然胡说的
http://bbs.wenxuecity.com/finance/4232283.html


 
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 Post subject: Re: Is market too complacent?
PostPosted: 7/9/17 07:17 
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D56基金管理公司前操盘手鸭哥恶意买跌停股被抓


 
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 Post subject: Re: Is market too complacent?
PostPosted: 7/29/17 20:02 
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How about commute to NYC?
我刚到巴黎时住在圣母院和PANTHEON(埋葬雨果居里等人的地方)之间的一个学生宿舍,但宿舍对面下面是一个拘留所之类的地方,经常可以听到从那里传来坏人被坏警殴打得鬼哭狼嚎的声音。

发信人: ljiiuan2 (文刀兄), 信区: Stock 标 题: 太压抑: 宁要农村一间房,不要纽约一栋楼 发信站: BBS 未名空间站 (Sat Jul 29 11:15:52 2017, 美东) 太吵了,住一天还觉得热闹,但住到第二天就精分了


 
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 Post subject: Re: Is market too complacent?
PostPosted: 9/1/17 11:56 
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若制度不烂,怎么会有这么多坏蛋大官?
中国前总参谋长房峰辉被捕 海军司令被调查


 
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 Post subject: Re: Is market too complacent?
PostPosted: 9/2/17 00:13 
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这图等于在用放大镜看局部,什么指标都不用光看那么多大阴棍都吓人。
在这种情况下要估计短期底部在哪里,在什么情况出现时可以认为趋势要反转。预设大跌而忽略了动态变化产生的反转信号,鸭子也只能引颈长叹了。


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 Post subject: Re: Is market too complacent?
PostPosted: 9/2/17 20:35 
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Gold could keep rising to $1,400, according to market technician Louise Yamada
鸭妈大最近几年也没准。但预测1400等于没预测什么。都是误差范围之内的事。黄金跟股市反着来?总可以找出很多时间段来证明。但目前并非如此。目前股市和商品市场会让人猜想,是不是MM想把什么东西价格都拉高,形成通胀,让经济走出长期低迷状态。
GLD图上看,长期,在未来3-5年很好。做商品,就是做大周期了,参阅‘不能当鸵鸭 ’。


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 Post subject: Re: Is market too complacent?
PostPosted: 9/3/17 14:32 
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不知为啥,金矿大部分还非常弱。
now wrote:
Gold could keep rising to $1,400, according to market technician Louise Yamada
鸭妈大最近几年也没准。但预测1400等于没预测什么。都是误差范围之内的事。黄金跟股市反着来?总可以找出很多时间段来证明。但目前并非如此。目前股市和商品市场会让人猜想,是不是MM想把什么东西价格都拉高,形成通胀,让经济走出长期低迷状态。
GLD图上看,长期,在未来3-5年很好。做商品,就是做大周期了,参阅‘不能当鸵鸭 ’。


 
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 Post subject: Re: Is market too complacent?
PostPosted: 9/16/17 12:45 
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6 crucial steps for a powerful personal transformation
https://www.cnbc.com/2017/09/15/6-cruci ... ation.html


 
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 Post subject: Re: Is market too complacent?
PostPosted: 9/20/17 07:06 
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Buffett calls pessimists about United States 'out of their mind'

Buffett said he expects the Dow Jones Industrial Average to be "over 1 million" in 100 years

Buffett said long-term investing remains the way to go


 
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 Post subject: Re: Is market too complacent?
PostPosted: 9/28/17 10:43 
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米国富2代站着听中国官2代胡扯,特给面子。川老邪政府一面全面敲诈中国利益,一面给点虚面子。川老邪从墨西哥敲诈到什么?NOTHING,从加拿大?就给软木加点税。
中国官2代能讲什么人文?对百姓网上说话越管越严。
中国共产党敢跟人民来一场公开人文对话吗?

刘延东讲了半小时 伊万卡和老公站着听完
刘延东致词表示,她这次来美,主要是与美国国务卿提勒森共同主持首轮中美社会和人文对话,将围绕"中美关系未来50年,相互理解、共生共享"主题,探讨新时期下如何加强人文交流,深化中美友好。


 
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