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 Post subject: Re: 季报攻略Q2‘12
PostPosted: 7/9/12 00:22 
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Joined: 9/13/06 14:13
Posts: 9610
看来GOOG真是本周四(12)?


In addition, the following is a list of the more notable earnings coming up over the next few weeks:
  • July 12th - Google (Nasdaq: GOOG)

  • July 13th - JPMorgan (NYSE: JPM), Wells Fargo (NYSE: WFC)

  • July 16th - Citigroup (NYSE: C), Wynn Resorts (Nasdaq: WYNN)

  • July 17th - Chipotle (NYSE: CMG), Goldman Sachs (NYSE: GS), Intel (Nasdaq: INTC), Intuitive Surgical (Nasdaq: ISRG), Coca-Cola (NYSE: KO), Mosaic (NYSE: MOS), Charles Schwab (NYSE: SCHW), Yahoo! (Nasdaq: YHOO)

  • July 18th - Bank of America (NYSE: BAC), Bank of NY Mellon (NYSE: BK), CA (Nasdaq: CA), eBay (Nasdaq: EBAY), International Business Machines (NYSE: IBM), Johnson Controls (NYSE: JCI), QUALCOMM (Nasdaq: QCOM), United Technologies (NYSE: UTX), Yum! Brands (NYSE: YUM)

  • July 19th - Advanced Micro (NYSE: AMD), Baxter (NYSE: BAX), Cirrus Logic (Nasdaq: CRUS), US Airways (NYSE: LCC), Southwest Air (NYSE: LUV), Microsoft (Nasdaq: MSFT), Nokia (NYSE: NOK), Rambus (Nasdaq: RMBS), Travelzoo (Nasdaq: TZOO), Verizon (NYSE: VZ)

  • July 20th - General Electric (NYSE: GE), Ingersoll-Rand (NYSE: IR)

  • July 23rd - Halliburton (NYSE: HAL), Hasbro (Nasdaq: HAS)

  • July 24th - AT&T (NYSE: T), Biogen Idec (Nasdaq: BIIB), Under Armour (NYSE: UA), Western Union (NYSE: WU), Apple (Nasdaq: AAPL)

  • July 25th - Boeing (NYSE: BA), ConocoPhillips (NYSE: COP), PepsiCo (NYSE: PEP), Visa (NYSE: V), Whole Foods (NYSE: WFM), *Ford (NYSE: F)

  • July 26th - International Paper (NYSE: IP), Metro PCS (NYSE: PCS), Facebook (Nasdaq: FB)

  • July 27th - Chevron (NYSE: CVX), Merck (NYSE: MRK)

  • July 31st - Pfizer (NYSE: PFE)


 
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 Post subject: Re: 季报攻略Q2‘12
PostPosted: 7/9/12 00:23 
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Joined: 8/22/06 19:40
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no confirmation, rumor said goog normally report ER date 10 days earlier


goldalways wrote:
看来GOOG真是本周四(12)?


In addition, the following is a list of the more notable earnings coming up over the next few weeks:
  • July 12th - Google (Nasdaq: GOOG)

  • July 13th - JPMorgan (NYSE: JPM), Wells Fargo (NYSE: WFC)

  • July 16th - Citigroup (NYSE: C), Wynn Resorts (Nasdaq: WYNN)

  • July 17th - Chipotle (NYSE: CMG), Goldman Sachs (NYSE: GS), Intel (Nasdaq: INTC), Intuitive Surgical (Nasdaq: ISRG), Coca-Cola (NYSE: KO), Mosaic (NYSE: MOS), Charles Schwab (NYSE: SCHW), Yahoo! (Nasdaq: YHOO)

  • July 18th - Bank of America (NYSE: BAC), Bank of NY Mellon (NYSE: BK), CA (Nasdaq: CA), eBay (Nasdaq: EBAY), International Business Machines (NYSE: IBM), Johnson Controls (NYSE: JCI), QUALCOMM (Nasdaq: QCOM), United Technologies (NYSE: UTX), Yum! Brands (NYSE: YUM)

  • July 19th - Advanced Micro (NYSE: AMD), Baxter (NYSE: BAX), Cirrus Logic (Nasdaq: CRUS), US Airways (NYSE: LCC), Southwest Air (NYSE: LUV), Microsoft (Nasdaq: MSFT), Nokia (NYSE: NOK), Rambus (Nasdaq: RMBS), Travelzoo (Nasdaq: TZOO), Verizon (NYSE: VZ)

  • July 20th - General Electric (NYSE: GE), Ingersoll-Rand (NYSE: IR)

  • July 23rd - Halliburton (NYSE: HAL), Hasbro (Nasdaq: HAS)

  • July 24th - AT&T (NYSE: T), Biogen Idec (Nasdaq: BIIB), Under Armour (NYSE: UA), Western Union (NYSE: WU), Apple (Nasdaq: AAPL)

  • July 25th - Boeing (NYSE: BA), ConocoPhillips (NYSE: COP), PepsiCo (NYSE: PEP), Visa (NYSE: V), Whole Foods (NYSE: WFM), *Ford (NYSE: F)

  • July 26th - International Paper (NYSE: IP), Metro PCS (NYSE: PCS), Facebook (Nasdaq: FB)

  • July 27th - Chevron (NYSE: CVX), Merck (NYSE: MRK)

  • July 31st - Pfizer (NYSE: PFE)


 
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 Post subject: Re: 季报攻略Q2‘12
PostPosted: 7/9/12 00:29 
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Joined: 8/26/06 23:46
Posts: 2904
方向呢?

上下


清风两袖 wrote:
CMG这次的ER应该大有搞头, 相信金总一定不会错过。
goldalways wrote:
这个我绝对相信,因为125 - 80这么大的幅度,感觉应该有500X才对啊


常微笑不语 wrote:
fosl也有100x, 如果你挺到最后。


 
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 Post subject: Re: 季报攻略Q2‘12
PostPosted: 7/9/12 00:31 
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Posts: 9610
在没有wkly option之前,GOOG  Q2的日期绝对是七月OE周的周四(今年就应该是19日)盘后,那么如果10天前发布,今天应该要发布了,否则就赶不上19日了


xiangpang wrote:
no confirmation, rumor said goog normally report ER date 10 days earlier


goldalways wrote:
看来GOOG真是本周四(12)?


In addition, the following is a list of the more notable earnings coming up over the next few weeks:
  • July 12th - Google (Nasdaq: GOOG)

  • July 13th - JPMorgan (NYSE: JPM), Wells Fargo (NYSE: WFC)

  • July 16th - Citigroup (NYSE: C), Wynn Resorts (Nasdaq: WYNN)

  • July 17th - Chipotle (NYSE: CMG), Goldman Sachs (NYSE: GS), Intel (Nasdaq: INTC), Intuitive Surgical (Nasdaq: ISRG), Coca-Cola (NYSE: KO), Mosaic (NYSE: MOS), Charles Schwab (NYSE: SCHW), Yahoo! (Nasdaq: YHOO)

  • July 18th - Bank of America (NYSE: BAC), Bank of NY Mellon (NYSE: BK), CA (Nasdaq: CA), eBay (Nasdaq: EBAY), International Business Machines (NYSE: IBM), Johnson Controls (NYSE: JCI), QUALCOMM (Nasdaq: QCOM), United Technologies (NYSE: UTX), Yum! Brands (NYSE: YUM)

  • July 19th - Advanced Micro (NYSE: AMD), Baxter (NYSE: BAX), Cirrus Logic (Nasdaq: CRUS), US Airways (NYSE: LCC), Southwest Air (NYSE: LUV), Microsoft (Nasdaq: MSFT), Nokia (NYSE: NOK), Rambus (Nasdaq: RMBS), Travelzoo (Nasdaq: TZOO), Verizon (NYSE: VZ)

  • July 20th - General Electric (NYSE: GE), Ingersoll-Rand (NYSE: IR)

  • July 23rd - Halliburton (NYSE: HAL), Hasbro (Nasdaq: HAS)

  • July 24th - AT&T (NYSE: T), Biogen Idec (Nasdaq: BIIB), Under Armour (NYSE: UA), Western Union (NYSE: WU), Apple (Nasdaq: AAPL)

  • July 25th - Boeing (NYSE: BA), ConocoPhillips (NYSE: COP), PepsiCo (NYSE: PEP), Visa (NYSE: V), Whole Foods (NYSE: WFM), *Ford (NYSE: F)

  • July 26th - International Paper (NYSE: IP), Metro PCS (NYSE: PCS), Facebook (Nasdaq: FB)

  • July 27th - Chevron (NYSE: CVX), Merck (NYSE: MRK)

  • July 31st - Pfizer (NYSE: PFE)


 
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 Post subject: Re: 季报攻略Q2‘12
PostPosted: 7/9/12 00:34 
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Joined: 9/13/06 14:13
Posts: 9610
在整理一下OE前的重要ER:

7.16  WYNN
7.17  MOS (BMO
7.18  QCOM,YUM(BMO?),EBAY
7.19  ISRG,SNDK (不知道GOOG是不是这天,按惯例是),CMG,CRUS,TZOO


 
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 Post subject: Re: 季报攻略Q2‘12
PostPosted: 7/9/12 00:41 
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Joined: 3/18/11 03:56
Posts: 173
密切关注
都是先买了option  赌上下的打法吗?

goldalways wrote:
在整理一下OE前的重要ER:

7.16  WYNN
7.17  MOS (BMO
7.18  QCOM,YUM(BMO?),EBAY
7.19  ISRG,SNDK (不知道GOOG是不是这天,按惯例是),CMG,CRUS,TZOO


 
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 Post subject: Re: 季报攻略Q2‘12
PostPosted: 7/9/12 00:44 
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Joined: 9/13/06 14:13
Posts: 9610
哈哈,现在还没决定,当然不少肯定就是这种简单,最大倍数的办法

strum wrote:
密切关注
都是先买了option  赌上下的打法吗?

goldalways wrote:
在整理一下OE前的重要ER:

7.16  WYNN
7.17  MOS (BMO
7.18  QCOM,YUM(BMO?),EBAY
7.19  ISRG,SNDK (不知道GOOG是不是这天,按惯例是),CMG,CRUS,TZOO


 
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 Post subject: Re: 季报攻略Q2‘12
PostPosted: 7/9/12 00:47 
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Joined: 9/13/06 14:13
Posts: 9610
CRUS这个股票到底是干什么?有LED产品???谁东航的给说说

The information contained below should be read along with Item 7 – Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations and Item 8 – Financial Statements and Supplementary Data (Amounts in thousands, except per share amounts).
  Fiscal Years
  2012       2011       2010       2009       2008
  (1) (1) (1) (2) (3)
Net sales $ 426,843   $ 369,571   $ 220,989   $ 174,642   $ 181,885  
Net Income (loss)   87,983     203,503     38,398     3,475     (5,846 )
Basic earnings (loss) per share $ 1.35   $ 3.00   $ 0.59   $ 0.05   $ (0.07 )
Diluted earnings (loss) per share $ 1.29   $ 2.82   $ 0.59   $ 0.05   $ (0.07 )
Financial position at year end:                              
Cash, cash equivalents, restricted                              
       investments and marketable                              
       securities $ 184,788   $ 215,055   $ 141,626   $ 120,232   $ 187,498  
Total assets   544,462     496,621     267,610     207,004     298,306  
Working capital   278,602     267,416     142,965     126,908     194,665  
Long-term obligations   5,620     6,188     7,119     8,328     9,381  
Total stockholders’ equity $ 465,857   $ 438,379   $ 218,601   $ 172,928   $ 240,935  



 
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 Post subject: Re: 季报攻略Q2‘12
PostPosted: 7/9/12 00:52 
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Joined: 9/13/06 14:13
Posts: 9610

果然LED相关!

We provide high-precision analog and mixed-signal ICs for targeted energy control, energy measurement and energy exploration applications, as well as ICs, board-level modules, and hybrids from the Apex brand of products for high-power PWM and power amplifier applications. We have approximately 450 active proprietary products which include LED driver ICs, power factor correction ICs, ADCs, DACs, linear amplifiers, PWM amplifiers, and amplifier ICs. Our products are used in a wide array of high-precision, energy-related applications including LED retrofit lamps, digital utility meters, power supplies, lighting ballasts, motor control, energy exploration, and high-power systems. New additions to our proprietary product portfolio in the past fiscal year include:
       1.        The CS1501/1601 are digitally controlled, variable frequency discontinuous conduction mode (VF-DCM), active power factor correction ICs intended for use in switch-mode power supplies rated up to 300 watts. The CS1501 is designed to address power supplies, such as laptop adapters, digital TVs and PC power, while the CS1601 targets lighting applications, such as LED and fluorescent electronic lighting ballasts.
   
  2.   The CS161X family of TRIAC dimmable LED drivers, which have been tested to provide near 100 percent compatibility with the world’s base of installed dimmers, is the first LED driver IC product family from Cirrus Logic that targets the retrofit incandescent replacement market, which many analysts believe will grow to 1 billion units by 2015.



goldalways wrote:
CRUS这个股票到底是干什么?有LED产品???谁东航的给说说

The information contained below should be read along with Item 7 – Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations and Item 8 – Financial Statements and Supplementary Data (Amounts in thousands, except per share amounts).
  Fiscal Years
  2012       2011       2010       2009       2008
  (1) (1) (1) (2) (3)
Net sales $ 426,843   $ 369,571   $ 220,989   $ 174,642   $ 181,885  
Net Income (loss)   87,983     203,503     38,398     3,475     (5,846 )
Basic earnings (loss) per share $ 1.35   $ 3.00   $ 0.59   $ 0.05   $ (0.07 )
Diluted earnings (loss) per share $ 1.29   $ 2.82   $ 0.59   $ 0.05   $ (0.07 )
Financial position at year end:                              
Cash, cash equivalents, restricted                              
       investments and marketable                              
       securities $ 184,788   $ 215,055   $ 141,626   $ 120,232   $ 187,498  
Total assets   544,462     496,621     267,610     207,004     298,306  
Working capital   278,602     267,416     142,965     126,908     194,665  
Long-term obligations   5,620     6,188     7,119     8,328     9,381  
Total stockholders’ equity $ 465,857   $ 438,379   $ 218,601   $ 172,928   $ 240,935  



 
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 Post subject: Re: 季报攻略Q2‘12
PostPosted: 7/9/12 00:58 
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Joined: 12/14/11 17:33
Posts: 1883
yahoo上显示yum是7月9号? 再查了一下, 18号.
goldalways wrote:
在整理一下OE前的重要ER:

7.16  WYNN
7.17  MOS (BMO
7.18  QCOM,YUM(BMO?),EBAY
7.19  ISRG,SNDK (不知道GOOG是不是这天,按惯例是),CMG,CRUS,TZOO


 
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 Post subject: Re: 季报攻略Q2‘12
PostPosted: 7/9/12 20:54 
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Posts: 9610
果然,GOOG今日凌晨发布了

MOUNTAIN VIEW, Calif., Jul 09, 2012 (BUSINESS WIRE) -- Google Inc. will hold its quarterly conference call to discuss second quarter 2012 financial results on Thursday, July 19th at 1:30 p.m. Pacific Time (4:30 p.m. Eastern Time). 

一如既往,OE周周四盘后
也一如想胖所言:提前10天公布



goldalways wrote:
在没有wkly option之前,GOOG  Q2的日期绝对是七月OE周的周四(今年就应该是19日)盘后,那么如果10天前发布,今天应该要发布了,否则就赶不上19日了


xiangpang wrote:
no confirmation, rumor said goog normally report ER date 10 days earlier


goldalways wrote:
看来GOOG真是本周四(12)?


In addition, the following is a list of the more notable earnings coming up over the next few weeks:
  • July 12th - Google (Nasdaq: GOOG)

  • July 13th - JPMorgan (NYSE: JPM), Wells Fargo (NYSE: WFC)

  • July 16th - Citigroup (NYSE: C), Wynn Resorts (Nasdaq: WYNN)

  • July 17th - Chipotle (NYSE: CMG), Goldman Sachs (NYSE: GS), Intel (Nasdaq: INTC), Intuitive Surgical (Nasdaq: ISRG), Coca-Cola (NYSE: KO), Mosaic (NYSE: MOS), Charles Schwab (NYSE: SCHW), Yahoo! (Nasdaq: YHOO)

  • July 18th - Bank of America (NYSE: BAC), Bank of NY Mellon (NYSE: BK), CA (Nasdaq: CA), eBay (Nasdaq: EBAY), International Business Machines (NYSE: IBM), Johnson Controls (NYSE: JCI), QUALCOMM (Nasdaq: QCOM), United Technologies (NYSE: UTX), Yum! Brands (NYSE: YUM)

  • July 19th - Advanced Micro (NYSE: AMD), Baxter (NYSE: BAX), Cirrus Logic (Nasdaq: CRUS), US Airways (NYSE: LCC), Southwest Air (NYSE: LUV), Microsoft (Nasdaq: MSFT), Nokia (NYSE: NOK), Rambus (Nasdaq: RMBS), Travelzoo (Nasdaq: TZOO), Verizon (NYSE: VZ)

  • July 20th - General Electric (NYSE: GE), Ingersoll-Rand (NYSE: IR)

  • July 23rd - Halliburton (NYSE: HAL), Hasbro (Nasdaq: HAS)

  • July 24th - AT&T (NYSE: T), Biogen Idec (Nasdaq: BIIB), Under Armour (NYSE: UA), Western Union (NYSE: WU), Apple (Nasdaq: AAPL)

  • July 25th - Boeing (NYSE: BA), ConocoPhillips (NYSE: COP), PepsiCo (NYSE: PEP), Visa (NYSE: V), Whole Foods (NYSE: WFM), *Ford (NYSE: F)

  • July 26th - International Paper (NYSE: IP), Metro PCS (NYSE: PCS), Facebook (Nasdaq: FB)

  • July 27th - Chevron (NYSE: CVX), Merck (NYSE: MRK)

  • July 31st - Pfizer (NYSE: PFE)


 
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 Post subject: Re: 季报攻略Q2‘12
PostPosted: 7/10/12 05:27 
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Joined: 3/11/10 18:24
Posts: 173
金总, 还有一个有油水的,
FFIV 7/18 AMC

CRUS 7/30, not 7/19


 
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 Post subject: Re: 季报攻略Q2‘12
PostPosted: 7/10/12 05:47 
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Joined: 9/13/06 14:13
Posts: 9610
确实如此,你说的对,再update一下:

在整理一下OE前的重要ER:

7.16  WYNN
7.17  MOS (BMO
7.18  QCOM,YUM(BMO?),EBAY,FFIV
7.19  ISRG,SNDK (不知道GOOG是不是这天,按惯例是),CMG,TZOO (?还未确定?)

7.24  AAPL,BIIB, QCOR
7.25  V,WFM
7.26  FB
7.30  CRUS
8.01  BMRN


bam wrote:
金总, 还有一个有油水的,
FFIV 7/18 AMC

CRUS 7/30, not 7/19


 
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 Post subject: Re: 季报攻略Q2‘12
PostPosted: 7/12/12 12:42 
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Joined: 9/13/06 14:13
Posts: 9610


Goldman Sachs
Identifies Best Option Plays This Earnings Season




Click here to find out more!

July 11, 2012 11:20 AM EDT
Into earnings, most traders want to know, "What are my options?"

Exactly.

Good thing Goldman Sachs
has pieced together a report giving you some guidance on whether or not to go
long or short on call or put options. Or maybe a strangle for the astraddle.

According to Goldman, current options
markets imply +/- 5.7 percent move for the average stock on its earnings day for
the second quarter. This is below the trailing seven-year average of +/- 6.7
percent, but above the average of +/- 4.3 percent observed over the last eight
quarters.

Unusually high volatility is
expected in Healthcare and Utility stocks, with ratios of 1.6 versus historical
moves. Financials should be at a 1.5 ratio.

So, Goldman thinks call buying will be big this quarter, given
its propensity to outperform in prior years. The anomaly happened last quarter,
when call buyers saw a 15 percent drop on premium while put buyers saw a 9
percent gain. Prior to that, over the last 15 years, call options have returned
positive results overall.

For strangle
strategies -- buying a call and put which expire in the same month, but have
different strike prices -- the results are mixed. Strangle buyers generally
expect a rapid rise or fall in shares, paying a but more premium to capture that
movement.

Goldman gives the following
suggestions for upside to EPS estimates:

Financials

  • Regions Financial (NYSE:
    RF) - Sees 21
    percent upside over next 12 months, with Regions' concentrated exposure in teh
    Southeastern US as a solid investment positive. Net margins should move 10 basis
    points by year end 2013, expense leverage to result in a 300 basis point
    improvement in Regions' 2013 efficiency ratio, and provision to decline 64
    percent in 2012 versus 2011.


  • Wells Fargo - sees
    upside from mortgage banking business, with low rates continuing to benefit
    refis and new issuances.
Healthcare

  • McKesson (NYSE: MCK) - sees
    high-mid-teens growth continuing. Goldman says McKesson "continues to look to
    generics as the key driver in reaching the company’s goal of 200-250 bp margins
    in its Distribution business, while making great strides in building out other
    areas including Canada and Specialty. On the HCIT side, he believes investor
    focus remains on clinical, despite management stressing the importance of the
    Connectivity and Payer offerings."


  • Quest Diagnostics (NYSE: DGX) - likes
    defensive sales mix of no European exposure and stable volumes relative to
    mounting headwinds. Though top-line growth might be muted, Goldman sees more
    cost-cutting available with the new CEO.
Discretionary

  • Chiptole Mexican Grill (NYSE: CMG) - sees
    negative sentiment that comps could fall below 10 percent a potential setup for
    upside, with shares dropping 6 percent recently. Goldman sees comps up 10
    percent to 11 percent, with EPS also beating.


  • Ross Stores (Nasdaq: ROST) - Goldman
    thinks the market is under appreciating how the macro backdrop is pushing
    consumers to seek out value alternatives like Ross Stores.
Energy

  • Marathon Pertoleum (NYSE: MRO) - Goldman
    commented that it "expects MidCon (Mid-Continent focused refiners) crude oil spreads to remain wider than current buy-side
    expectations (i.e., above $4/bbl for Brent-WTI), driving 9% upside to consensus
    earnings this quarter, and 21% upside over the next three quarters...[the firm
    also] expects updated details on the previously announced plans to consider
    creating an MLP for a portion of its mid-stream assets to bode well for
    shares."


  • Suncor Energy (NYSE: SU) - sees
    positives as above-average liquids volume, returns on capital and free cash,
    strong balance sheet, and shareholder returns.


  • Southwestern Energy (NYSE; SWN) - says
    market is overly concerned that Marcellus Shale returns will decline, with
    additional room for 'imports' in the Northeast to be displaced. Also,
    Fayetteville Shale asset costs should be lower than peers.
Industrials

  • Boeing (NYSE: BA) - bullish on
    orders at Farnborough Air Show as well as overall order prospects for the
    remainder of 2012, particularly for 777s, 747-8s, and 737 MAXs.


  • Caterpillar (NYSE: CAT) - likes
    exposure to end markets, upside to margins, and impressive supply tailwinds.
    Goldman also thinks North America is in the starting part of a cyclical
    recovery.
Materials

  • Weyerhaeuser (NYSE: WY) - thinks the
    Street isn't fully factoring in wood product price
    increases
    .
TMT

  • Salesforce.com (NYSE: CRM) - continues
    to see salesforce.com as a core holding in the software space, with the Company
    benefiting from the migration to SaaS solutions. Open sales positions have been
    on an upward trend as well.


  • EMC Corp. (NYSE: EMC) - sees a
    broad new product cycle continuing momentum beyond the summer. Goldman notes
    that EMC stock performs well during periods of economic
    duress.
Downside risks

Financials

  • Bank of NY Mellon (NYSE: BK)
Healthcare

  • Boston Scientific (NYSE: BSX)
Industrials

  • Illinois Tool Works (NYSE: ITW)


  • 3M Co. (NYSE: MMM)


  • PACCAR (Nasdaq: PCAR)
Staples

  • Safeway (NYSE: SWY)
TMT

  • Autodesk (Nasdaq: ADSK)


  • Dell (Nasdaq: DELL)


  • DISH Network (Nasdaq: DISH)


  • Intel (Nasdaq: INTC)


  • MetroPCS (NYSE: PCS)


 
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 Post subject: Re: 季报攻略Q2‘12
PostPosted: 7/12/12 13:23 
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Posts: 525
求发哥公布您的JPM/WFC 季报攻略。如您所言,我们只要反着来即可。


 
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